Where the numbers come from
Arena publishes predictions only where it can show a clear outcome and a dated call. The public prediction record shows results, sample sizes and uncertainty.
The match assistant
The match assistant answers questions about a selected event from the facts the source has supplied: it can summarise what happened, explain a statistic such as expected goals or a cricket chase, list the changes recorded so far and say what evidence is missing. Its answers are written from those facts and never change a probability. Free-text generation by an AI language model is not switched on.
Decision Lab
Decision Lab helps you compare fantasy choices and save a decision before the deadline so you can review it afterwards. Its outputs are estimates, not guarantees.
How forecasts are checked
Published calls keep their original time and probabilities. After a final result, the public record shows the outcome, sample count and accuracy measures. Corrections are reflected in the record.
What it does not do
It does not guarantee outcomes, it does not use bookmaker prices inside its own forecast, it does not rate teams it has no verified history for, and it does not invent line-ups, injuries or statistics that the source has not published. Where evidence is missing, the screen says so.